Goodchild feels the race has gone quicker than expected “It feels like we've done about 10 days worth of sailing in three days… all in different conditions.” He concluded on the morning radio calls. The MACIF skipper expects to cross the Arctic Circle in the small hours of tomorrow morning.
“ The last 24 hours have now been fairly good actually. The wind's dropped, or been down, so I managed to get some sleep and right now the wind's just started to come back in now, so I've taken the big sail down and I'm starting to get ready to manage this little depression that's ahead of us. But overall the last 24 hours have gone pretty well. I banked some sleep. I really was pretty tired.”
He adds, “These boats aren't very easy for sleeping when you're slamming off waves and jumping off foils. We were hoping north of Ireland it would come down a bit and then it was really unstable winds, with lots of squalls and gusts and lulls, and instability. One thing after another led to being quite tired. I don't know how many hours I slept last night, but quite a lot.”
“ Right now we have this low pressure system that's just building in front of us, and it's crossing the whole path. So we're going to have to go through it. It’s a bit like we're going on a bear hunt. You can't go around it, you've got to go through it. So basically the wind's going to pick up to over 30 knots. It should be fairly short-lived, and then we're going to sail straight out the other side of it into light winds and then I hope for the best for me.”
He explains his routing to the crossing point, “You don't actually have to pick the exact point until you're on it, which is definitely a bit different. You're looking at several weather scenarios, weather forecasts, and each of them would say it's best to cross it at a different point. None of them are agreeing. It is probably going to be a little bit decided by the weather or at the last minute. But at the moment, I’m looking at the weather forecasts and giving them as many options as possible and trying to find out where they end up narrowing the point down to.”
And while some routes for the later runners suggest going east of the UK he is looking at the possibility or a passage through the Irish Sea
“For me it is not looking east of the UK, but maybe east of Ireland is an option. And there's another big low-pressure system coming into Ireland in the next few days, and that's going to animate our way south, if you like. We are going to have to get through that. So a couple of routes actually go east of Ireland, one to hide from the very strong winds and the sea state, and then the light winds from the ridge behind it. We will see how they develop in the next couple of days. First, just to figure out where we're going to cross this up the circle, and then we'll have another low-pressure system to give us a beat on the way home"
This race was always going to be fairly intense going across systems. It was hard to see lots of changing conditions, lots of strong winds, light winds, and transitions, and big sea states. So it is kind of as expected.